Long-Term Thinking in a Short-Term Economy

Long Term Thinking

We’re living in an age where everything seems to demand instant action. Markets swing wildly. Politicians chase headlines instead of stability. Businesses optimise for quarterly earnings rather than decade-long legacies. Even our phones train us to crave dopamine hits in seconds, not months. It’s no wonder that most people—without even realising it—start making their financial decisions in the same reactive, short-term way. In this post I’m espousing long-term thinking as an alternative.

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Programmable Money: What It Could Mean for Your Freedom?

Programmable Money

In an earlier post in this series on the Future of Money – What is a CBDC and Why It Matters to Everyday Investors, I introduced the concept of programmable money. Programmable money is digital currency with built-in rules that can automate transactions based on predefined conditions.

This technology presents a significant duality, for personal freedom: It could enable new forms of economic autonomy and efficiency, however, it also poses a serious risk in terms of surveillance, control and reduced privacy. If not implemented with strong safeguards I believe it could be dystopian.

In this post I will go into more detail on what programmable money is and why we should be concerned but open to opportunities.


Potential Benefits of Programmable Money

1. Automated control

Programmable money could give users fine-grained control over their finances. For example, a parent could program pocket money so that their child can only spend it on school supplies and prevent other purchases.

2. Trust and efficiency

Smart contracts can reduce counterparty risk by automatically executing payments when agreed-upon conditions are met, such as confirming delivery of a product.

3. Financial inclusion

By reducing the cost of transactions and making financial services more accessible, programmable money could provide banking and investment opportunities to underserved populations.


Examples of programmable money

At its core, programmable money combines digital currency with logic. (If-This-Then-That). They will use smart contracts on blockchain technology. This embedded logic means that payments can be self-executing once specific conditions are met, eliminating the need for intermediaries.

Here are some of the other ways that organisations are exploring programmable money:

1. Business and corporate finance

Automated payroll

Companies can use smart contracts to pay salaries, automatically, on specific dates, which helps reduce delays and manual errors.

Treasury management

Programmable money allows for automated liquidity management, with funds being moved between accounts based on predefined thresholds and market conditions.

Business-to-business (B2B) payments

Conditional logic can automate B2B payments, with funds released only when conditions, such as delivery confirmation or invoice verification, are met.

Trade finance

The traditional process of managing payment instruments and trade documents can be streamlined, with payment and trade data integrated into a single programmable instrument. This can reduce discrepancies and speed up transactions.

Royalty payments

In the creator economy, royalties can be automatically distributed to rights holders as revenue comes in, ensuring fair and instant compensation for collaborators.

2. Supply chain and trade

Supply chain payments

Payments can be triggered automatically when goods are scanned at delivery points, confirming receipt and settling the transaction instantly.

Escrow services

Programmable money can function as a trust-less escrow, with a smart contract holding funds and releasing them automatically upon the fulfilment of predefined terms.

Trade finance and logistics

Payments can be automatically triggered only when goods arrive at the port or other delivery locations.

3. Government and public sector

Targeted aid

Governments can distribute financial aid or subsidies that are restricted to specific categories, such as groceries or education and released only when certain conditions are met.

Tax collection

Authorities could programme Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) to automatically deduct and pay taxes on certain transactions, improving compliance.

Emergency aid

Programmable CBDCs can enable the rapid and traceable disbursement of funds to affected regions during natural disasters.

Green stimulus

Governments could issue programmable money specifically earmarked for climate-friendly purchases, like electric vehicles or solar panels.

4. Consumer finance and other sectors

Conditional payments for online purchases

A buyer’s payment can be programmed to release to the seller only after the buyer confirms the goods have been received, helping to prevent fraud.

Insurance payouts

In parametric insurance, a claim can be automatically paid out by a smart contract when an external data source, or “oracle,” verifies the conditions have been met, such as a weather event triggering a crop insurance pay out.

Automated savings and investments

Funds can be automatically allocated from pay cheques to savings or investment accounts based on spending patterns or market changes.

Loyalty and rewards programs

Brands can issue loyalty tokens that are easy to track and manage, with programmable rules for expiration or evolution.

Fractional ownership

Real estate or other high-value assets can be tokenised into smaller, programmable units, making fractional ownership more accessible.


Implications for Personal Freedom

So, as we can see above there are a myriad of uses for programmable money and it is only limited by our imagination. But should we be concerned, after all, surely its progress?

1. Surveillance

A government could record every transaction on an accessible ledger, potentially leading to unprecedented levels of financial surveillance. In the context of a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC), this raises concerns about privacy and how they monitor spending behaviour.

2. Behavioural control

Authorities could use programmable money to enforce behaviour by limiting what, when or where people can spend their money. Examples include implementing expiration dates on funds or restricting purchases to certain categories. This shifts money from a neutral instrument to a tool for behavioural governance.

3. Loss of autonomy

The ability to have private financial transactions, currently offered by physical cash, could disappear in a fully programmable digital currency system. This could create a two-tiered system where economic control is codified into everyday transactions.

4. Systemic risks

Faults in the code of smart contracts or system-wide malfunctions could freeze or restrict funds, causing significant financial damage. If not properly designed, programmable money could also interfere with payment autonomy.


The Ongoing Debate

The extent to which we realise these risks to our freedoms, depends heavily on how we govern the technology. For example, the European Central Bank has stated that a digital euro would aim to replicate the privacy of cash, not limit how individuals spend their money. Conversely, critics warn that without democratic oversight and strong privacy safeguards, programmable money could become a tool for excessive state control.

As central banks and fintech companies continue to explore this technology, transparency and public input will be crucial to establishing trust and setting clear limits on its use.

Programmable money is coming, whether we like it or not. Its potential to streamline life, widen access and cut out friction is real. However, so is its capacity to shrink personal freedom if left in the hands of unaccountable institutions.

The key here is to stay alert, informed and involved. We don’t need to fear this shift, but we do need to shape it. If we push for transparency, insist on proper safeguards and build our own parallel strategies for financial independence, programmable money can evolve into a tool that works for us, not one that quietly erodes the freedoms we rely on.

In the next post I will look at the sister to programmable money: Smart Contracts and how these will affect real estate entrepreneurs. Stay tuned.

The End of Cash? How to Prepare Without Panic

The End Of Cash

I can’t remember the very first time I spent some cash. It was the early 1970s, though, as I was probably very young. It must have been a profound experience and although it hasn’t survived my conscious memory it most certainly is engrained in my subconscious. I must have realised that if you give the man in the sweet shop some small round metal discs, you were allowed to take the penny chews and gob stoppers away, with out him shouting at you.

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How Gold and Silver Fit Into a Modern Wealth Plan

How Gold And Silver Fit Into A Modern Wealth Plan

In a previous post in this The Future of Money series, we discussed how the Top 5 Hard Assets to Protect Your Wealth Outside the Financial System. Those asses were Real Estate, precious metals, commodities, farmland and infrastructure. This week we take a deeper dive into precious metals and in particular How Gold and Silver Fit into a Modern Wealth Plan.

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